Asia-Pacific's Ethyl Alcohol Market to Grow at +2.2% CAGR, Reaching 12B Litres by 2035 - News and Statistics - IndexBox

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IndexBox has just published a new report: Asia-Pacific - Ethyl Alcohol - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights.

Driven by growing demand in Asia-Pacific, the ethyl alcohol market is projected to see steady growth in both volume and value over the next decade. With a forecasted CAGR of +2.2% in volume and +2.6% in value from 2024 to 2035, the market is expected to reach 12B litres and $11.1B, respectively, by the end of 2035.

Driven by increasing demand for ethyl alcohol in Asia-Pacific, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next decade. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +2.2% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market volume to 12B litres by the end of 2035.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +2.6% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market value to $11.1B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2035.

Ethanol consumption rose remarkably to 9.8B litres in 2024, growing by 12% compared with the year before. The total consumption indicated a strong increase from 2013 to 2024: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +7.1% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The volume of consumption peaked in 2024 and is likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

The value of the ethanol market in Asia-Pacific rose rapidly to $8.4B in 2024, surging by 12% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Over the period under review, consumption enjoyed prominent growth. Over the period under review, the market reached the maximum level in 2024 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2024 were Pakistan (2.8B litres), India (2.5B litres) and Sri Lanka (1.3B litres), together comprising 68% of total consumption.

From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for Sri Lanka (with a CAGR of +20.1%), while consumption for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest ethanol markets in Asia-Pacific were India ($2.2B), Pakistan ($2B) and Sri Lanka ($1.4B), together accounting for 66% of the total market.

Sri Lanka, with a CAGR of +18.0%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to market size among the main consuming countries over the period under review, while market for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The countries with the highest levels of ethanol per capita consumption in 2024 were Sri Lanka (58 litres per person), Australia (30 litres per person) and Pakistan (12 litres per person).

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the main consuming countries, was attained by Sri Lanka (with a CAGR of +19.2%), while consumption for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Ethanol production expanded to 8B litres in 2024, increasing by 4.5% against the previous year. The total production indicated a buoyant increase from 2013 to 2024: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +5.5% over the last eleven years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, production decreased by -4.1% against 2022 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2022 when the production volume increased by 20% against the previous year. As a result, production reached the peak volume of 8.4B litres. From 2023 to 2024, production growth remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, ethanol production totaled $6.8B in 2024 estimated in export price. In general, production enjoyed a resilient expansion. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2022 with an increase of 28% against the previous year. As a result, production reached the peak level of $7.2B. From 2023 to 2024, production growth remained at a lower figure.

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2024 were Pakistan (3.3B litres), India (2.1B litres) and Sri Lanka (1.3B litres), with a combined 84% share of total production.

From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for Sri Lanka (with a CAGR of +20.8%), while production for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2024, purchases abroad of ethyl alcohol increased by 25% to 2.6B litres for the first time since 2021, thus ending a two-year declining trend. Total imports indicated prominent growth from 2013 to 2024: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +6.2% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 50%. As a result, imports reached the peak of 3.3B litres. From 2019 to 2024, the growth of imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, ethanol imports soared to $2.3B in 2024. Total imports indicated a resilient expansion from 2013 to 2024: its value increased at an average annual rate of +6.5% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when imports increased by 41% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports reached the maximum in 2024 and are likely to continue growth in the near future.

The countries with the highest levels of ethanol imports in 2024 were Japan (731M litres), the Philippines (599M litres), India (567M litres) and South Korea (416M litres), together reaching 89% of total import. It was distantly followed by Singapore (141M litres), making up a 5.5% share of total imports. Taiwan (Chinese) (62M litres) held a little share of total imports.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the leading importing countries, was attained by India (with a CAGR of +29.2%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Japan ($583M), South Korea ($568M) and the Philippines ($462M) were the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2024, together accounting for 71% of total imports. India, Singapore and Taiwan (Chinese) lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 26%.

India, with a CAGR of +22.2%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, in terms of the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2024, undenatured ethyl alcohol of alcoholic strength by volume over 80% (1.4B litres), followed by denatured ethyl alcohol and other denatured spirits (1.2B litres) represented the main types of ethyl alcohol, together committing 100% of total imports.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the key imported products, was attained by denatured ethyl alcohol and other denatured spirits (with a CAGR of +12.4%).

In value terms, the largest types of imported ethyl alcohol were undenatured ethyl alcohol of alcoholic strength by volume over 80% ($1.2B) and denatured ethyl alcohol and other denatured spirits ($1B).

Denatured ethyl alcohol and other denatured spirits, with a CAGR of +10.5%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, among the main imported products over the period under review.

In 2024, the import price in Asia-Pacific amounted to $882 per thousand litres, falling by -7.1% against the previous year. Overall, the import price, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2022 an increase of 35%. As a result, import price attained the peak level of $958 per thousand litres. From 2023 to 2024, the import prices failed to regain momentum.

Average prices varied noticeably amongst the major imported products. In 2024, the product with the highest price was undenatured ethyl alcohol of alcoholic strength by volume over 80% ($898 per thousand litres), while the price for denatured ethyl alcohol and other denatured spirits stood at $851 per thousand litres.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by undenatured ethyl alcohol (+1.2%).

The import price in Asia-Pacific stood at $882 per thousand litres in 2024, falling by -7.1% against the previous year. In general, the import price, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2022 an increase of 35%. As a result, import price reached the peak level of $958 per thousand litres. From 2023 to 2024, the import prices remained at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2024, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was South Korea ($1.4 per litre), while India ($734 per thousand litres) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by South Korea (+3.0%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Ethanol exports dropped remarkably to 849M litres in 2024, which is down by -19.2% against the year before. Overall, exports continue to indicate a noticeable decline. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 with an increase of 36%. Over the period under review, the exports reached the peak figure at 1.3B litres in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2024, the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, ethanol exports declined remarkably to $669M in 2024. Over the period under review, exports saw a perceptible decrease. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 with an increase of 63%. The level of export peaked at $944M in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Pakistan was the main exporter of ethyl alcohol in Asia-Pacific, with the volume of exports resulting at 529M litres, which was near 62% of total exports in 2024. India (124M litres) held the second position in the ranking, followed by Australia (82M litres). All these countries together took approx. 24% share of total exports. The following exporters - South Korea (33M litres), Indonesia (25M litres) and China (24M litres) - together made up 9.7% of total exports.

Pakistan experienced a relatively flat trend pattern with regard to volume of exports of ethyl alcohol. At the same time, South Korea (+42.2%) and Australia (+7.4%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, South Korea emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in Asia-Pacific, with a CAGR of +42.2% from 2013-2024. By contrast, China (-5.6%), India (-6.1%) and Indonesia (-8.3%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of Pakistan (+15 p.p.), Australia (+6.5 p.p.) and South Korea (+3.8 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total exports from 2013-2024, the share of Indonesia (-2.4 p.p.) and India (-6.1 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Pakistan ($354M) remains the largest ethanol supplier in Asia-Pacific, comprising 53% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by India ($108M), with a 16% share of total exports. It was followed by Australia, with a 12% share.

In Pakistan, ethanol exports remained relatively stable over the period from 2013-2024. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: India (-5.2% per year) and Australia (+10.8% per year).

In 2024, undenatured ethyl alcohol of alcoholic strength by volume over 80% (757M litres) represented the key type of ethyl alcohol, achieving 88% of total exports. It was distantly followed by denatured ethyl alcohol and other denatured spirits (106M litres), achieving a 12% share of total exports.

Undenatured ethyl alcohol of alcoholic strength by volume over 80% was also the fastest-growing in terms of exports, with a CAGR of -2.0% from 2013 to 2024. denatured ethyl alcohol and other denatured spirits (-7.5%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. Undenatured ethyl alcohol of alcoholic strength by volume over 80% (+8.7 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the total exports, while denatured ethyl alcohol and other denatured spirits saw its share reduced by -8.7% from 2013 to 2024, respectively.

In value terms, undenatured ethyl alcohol of alcoholic strength by volume over 80% ($580M) remains the largest type of ethyl alcohol supplied in Asia-Pacific, comprising 86% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by denatured ethyl alcohol and other denatured spirits ($93M), with a 14% share of total exports.

For undenatured ethyl alcohol of alcoholic strength by volume over 80%, exports shrank by an average annual rate of -1.4% over the period from 2013-2024.

The export price in Asia-Pacific stood at $787 per thousand litres in 2024, with a decrease of -2.9% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 an increase of 20% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export prices hit record highs at $828 per thousand litres in 2022; afterwards, it flattened through to 2024.

Average prices varied noticeably amongst the major exported products. In 2024, the product with the highest price was denatured ethyl alcohol and other denatured spirits ($877 per thousand litres), while the average price for exports of undenatured ethyl alcohol of alcoholic strength by volume over 80% totaled $765 per thousand litres.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by denatured ethyl alcohol (+1.3%).

The export price in Asia-Pacific stood at $787 per thousand litres in 2024, with a decrease of -2.9% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 when the export price increased by 20% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export prices attained the peak figure at $828 per thousand litres in 2022; afterwards, it flattened through to 2024.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2024, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was South Korea ($1.2 per litre), while Pakistan ($670 per thousand litres) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Australia (+3.2%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the ethanol market in Asia-Pacific. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.

This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

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The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry

The Largest Importers on The Market and How They Succeed

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The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles

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